Vanderbilt vs Arkansas 10/30/2010

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Arkansas is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Vanderbilt. Ryan Mallett is averaging 331 passing yards and 2.7 TDs per simulation and Broderick Green is projected for 63 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Vanderbilt wins, Larry Smith averages 1.42 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 0.92 interceptions. Warren Norman averages 72 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Vanderbilt wins and 62 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. Arkansas has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARK -21.5

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